Tour De France Stage 9 Odds
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Stage 8: 141km – Cazères-sur-Garonne to Loudenvielle – Saturday, September 5
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There are no summit finishes in the Pyrenees in this year’s Tour, but Saturday’s opening salvo in the big mountains is a serious stage that could affect the fight for the yellow jersey.
The primary difficulties are mostly in the back half of the stage. After an initial ascent of the Col de Menté, the race then tackles the Hors Categorie Port de Balès (11.7km at 7.7 percent average), and then the Col de Peyresourde, which gets a Category 1 ranking with 9.7km of climbing at 7.8 percent average.
The northern approach to the Balès was paved only in 2006, and it’s steep and ramp-y, including a 2km-long section in the middle at 10 percent average (with some spots to 14 percent) before backing off slightly to the summit. It’s also narrow; there’s not much room for a group to maneuver. But the real story with the Balès is the trip down the other side, which is exposed to weather, high-speed, and narrow; Graeme Fife’s guidebook Great Road Climbs of the Pyrenees calls it “…a truly hairy descent.” And if there’s fog, visibility is limited (current forecast is partly cloudy, with little chance of precipitation).
The Balès is far enough from the finish that it may serve mainly to soften up riders’ legs rather than spring attacks. Expect Jumbo-Visma and perhaps INEOS Grenadiers to set a high pace on the climb to discourage attacks, as well as keep the likely early breakaway at a reasonable gap. But aggressive riders may push the pace on the descent in the hopes of putting pressure on less-confident bike handlers. There’s zero flat ground in the valley between the Balès and the final climb for dropped riders to close any gaps that opened on the descent.
© Courtesy Tour de France tour de france stage 8 mapAs for the Peyresourde, again, Jumbo and INEOS will likely do their team-time-trial thing to keep riders from jumping off the front. It’s a good climb for a high, steady pace, as it doesn’t vary much in steepness. Most likely, if there’s an attack, it will come high on the climb as riders try to get a gap they can hold on the descent, where the superteams’ firepower is less effective.
The final descent isn’t as tricky as the Balès; it’s steep to start but straight; most of the switchbacks are lower down on the mountain. But farther down it’s a bit more technical until the course bottoms out with 3km to go for the final sprint to the finish. Expect anything from a single, bold escapee to a small group of favorites to contest the stage.
Riders to Watch
An early breakaway is almost a certainty, although after Stage 7’s difficulties it’s hard to say who might have the legs. If that group is large and motivated, they may get enough of a gap for at least a couple of survivors to make it to the finish ahead of the favorites group.
Among contenders, Tadej Pogačar (UAE-Emirates) may want to try to steal back some of the time he lost today; Bahrain-McLaren’s Mikel Landa and the Trek-Segafredo duo of Bauke Mollema and Richie Porte might be similarly inclined. Movistar’s Alejandro Valverde is always a threat on a day like this.
When to Watch
As Stage 7 showed, timetables are a guide, not a bible. But we’d expect the most interesting part of the stage to start on the Port de Balès, which the riders will summit as soon as 10:15 a.m. EDT by the fastest projected speed. If you pull up your feed around 10 a.m., you should catch the last part of the climb, the crucial descent, and the final climb and descent of the Peyresourde for a likely finish around 11 a.m.
How to Watch
With seven categorized climbs including three 'Hors Categorie' ascents, Stage 9 from Nantua to Chambery, (181.5km) could be the deciding stage of the Tour De France 2017 already. This article contains our Tour De France Stage 9 betting preview, best odds, predictions on Winner & Head to Head, betting promotions & no deposit free bets on today's TDF stage!
TOUR DE FRANCE STAGE 9 BETTING PREVIEW
There will be three climbs with average gradients of close to 10% on their entire length with a total ascending elevation of 4600 metres. The first half of the stage features two Beyond Category ascents - the Col de la Biche, a 10.5km ascent with average gradient of 9% and the Grand Colombier, which is slightly shorter than the previous climb at 8.5 kilometres, however is steeper at 9.9 per cent, with sections above 18 per cent.
Most of the action regarding the General Classification should all come down to the Mont du Chat, the final climb of the day that comes with an average of 10.3%. This climb was raced up (and down) by the riders who took part in June's Criterium du Dauphinè. That day Jakub Fuglsang was the stage winner, but Fabio Aru and Richie Porte were the most impressive riders.
We expect a few GC contenders to crack and lose minutes as the final climb, the Mont du Chat, one of the hardest mountains to be used by the Tour. After the climb, the riders need to tackle the tricky descent on the way to Chambéry. The descent is extremely technical and in the Dauphiné Froome put huge pressure on the other escapees, Porte, Aru and Fuglsang. This made clear that his successful attack on the descent of the Peyresourde in last year’s Tour de France was no coincidence.
As a consequence,
Chris Froome is the favourite to win Stage 9. The Brit has shown he is the best descender out of the group, the best on the flat, and possibly the best on the climb as well. Fabio Aru and Richie Porte will be extremely confident following their Dauphiné performances. Plus, the Italian has already delivered a super victory on La Planche des Belles Filles, looking the strongest climber right now.
Richie Porte was given a real scare by Froome's superior descending at the Dauphine. Furthermore, the Australian did not look very brilliant on the first big climb of the Tour, despite losing few seconds from Froome. Seven climbs in a day could be too much for him.
Romain Bardet gained confidence after the ascent of La Planche des Belles Filles, even though he lost a few seconds on the top favourites there. He also lost ground in the similar stage at the Criterim du Dauphinè, struggling to keep up with Fabio Aru's acceleration.
Apart from the big 4, only Daniel Martin could be a real danger in case of no winning breakaway. Anyway, the Irishman could struggle on Mont du Chat, as he prefers stages with less mountains.
Nairo Quintana doesn't seem to be hitting the top form his team promised he would hit in his second Grand Tour of the season while Alberto Contador, who just seems short of his very best, will only try to limit the gap.
Thibaut Pinot still looks vulnerable when the downhills get difficult and he is unlikely to earn too much time climbing the Mont Du Chat.
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Fabio Aru’s Astana teammate, Jakub Fuglsang, who put on a fabulous show on this climb at the Dauphine, had a disappointing day at La Planche des Belle Filles and could be used to help Fabio Aru rather than as captain.
Rafal Majka simply loves this kind of stages and he is a good descenders. The Pole is not considered as a GC threat and should have enough freedom to attack on the final climb or before it.
Long shots?
A breakaway could succeed should the General Classification control themselves. In that case, Esteban Chaves, Jarlinson Pantano, Pierre Rolland, Rigoberto Uran, Thomas De Gendt, Alessandro De Marchi and Daniel Navarro
are the best choices.Yesterday's winner Liliane Calmejane should be exhausted, as well as other attackers such as Serge Pauwels, Greg Van Avermaet, Robert Gesink, Jan Bakelandts and Nicolas Roche.
Finally, this route should be too tough for the likes of George Bennett, Stephen Cummings, Gianluca Brambilla, Diego Ulissi, Mathias Frank and the most of the peloton.
TOUR DE FRANCE STAGE 9 ODDS
- Chris Froome @ 8.00
- Thibault Pinot @ 10.00
- Fabio Aru @ 10.00
- Daniel Martin @ 11.00
- Romain Bardet @ 15.00
- Richie Porte @ 17.00
- Pierre Rolland @ 19.00
- George Bennett @ 29.00
- Nairo Quintana @ 33.00
- Rafal Majka @ 34.00
- Simon Yates @ 41.00
- Esteban Chaves @ 51.00
- Jakob Fuglsang @ 51.00
- Alberto Contador @ 51.00
- Robert Gesink @ 51.00
- Darwin Atapuma @ 52.00
- Jarlinson Pantano @ 67.00
- Serge Pauwels @ 67.00
- Stephen Cummings @ 67.00
- Diego Ulissi @ 67.00
- Rigoberto Uran @ 67.00
- Daniel Navarro @ 81.00
- Louis Meintjes @ 81.00
- Warren Barguil @ 81.00
- Mikel Landa @ 81.00
- Lilian Calmejane @ 81.00
TOUR DE FRANCE STAGE 9 PREDICTIONS
Stage 9 Tour De France Odds
- Winner: Chris Froome @ 8.00
- Winner: Rafal Majka @ 34.00
- Winner: Daniel Martin @ 11.00
- Head to Head: Majka to beat Fuglsang @ 1.50
- Head to Head: Porte to beat Quintana @ 1.44
- Head to Head: D.Martin to beat Bardet @ 1.66
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